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  • 蘋果一夜蒸發萬億什么情況 蘋果一夜蒸發萬億是真的嗎
    2019-06-07 22:05:41  來源:網絡1589

    周一,美國三大股指收盤漲跌不一,受到科技股集體調整的拖累,納斯達克指數收盤跌幅超過1%。

    一夜醒來,Facebook、蘋果、亞馬遜、奈飛和谷歌市值共計蒸發超過1萬億元人民幣。

    周一美國三大股指收盤漲跌不一

    納指大跌

    美股在周一低開低走,收盤的時候,標準普爾500指數和納斯達克綜合指數全部收跌,跌幅是分別達到了0.28%和1.61%,道瓊斯工業指數則基本不變。

    周一公布的美國5月制造業采購經理人指數為50.5,創10年來新低,ISM 制造業指數為52.1,創31個月來新低,兩項數據表明美國經濟已經受到國際貿易局勢的影響。

    蘋果一夜蒸發萬億什么情況 蘋果一夜蒸發萬億是真的嗎

    市場對美聯儲降息的預期升溫,對利率變化最為敏感的兩年期美債收益率大跌。黃金再次成為避險資產的首選,盤中突破了1320美元。

    美國科技巨頭股價集體重挫

    此前,美國多家監管機構正準備對谷歌、臉書,以及亞馬遜等科技巨頭展開反壟斷調查,而在周一,美國司法部門獲得了對蘋果公司展開調查的司法權力。

    蘋果一夜蒸發萬億什么情況 蘋果一夜蒸發萬億是真的嗎

    美國科技巨頭股價跟隨消息是集體重挫,領跌納指,總市值在一日之間蒸發1370億美元。這標志著特朗普政府向硅谷宣戰的重要一步,此前特朗普認為這些科技公司存在壓制共和黨人言論的情況。

    蘋果股價在周一收跌1.01%,谷歌收跌6.12%,臉書大跌7.51%,亞馬遜收跌4.64%......FAANG(Facebook、蘋果、亞馬遜、奈飛和谷歌母公司Alphabet)市值一日之間共計蒸發超過1萬億元人民幣。

    國際油價再次下跌

    油價在周一再次下跌,7月交割的美國輕質原油WTI收盤在每桶53.25美元。

    蘋果一夜蒸發萬億什么情況 蘋果一夜蒸發萬億是真的嗎

    美國政府激進的貿易政策打擊了市場信心,包括原油在內的風險類資產在6月慘淡開局。沙特暗示歐佩克及其同盟國可能會繼續減產,令油價跌幅收窄。

    另外,俄羅斯是否會繼續與沙特合作減產,將成為未來幾個月油價的重要驅動因素。

    市場避險情緒不斷升溫

    美國5月制造業采購經理人指數PMI終值創下近十年以來的新低。數據發布后,美股三大股指集體跳水。對此,市場資金如何應對近來的波動?避險方向都有哪些?

    最近幾個交易日,全球股市的持續大跌,使得市場中的恐慌情緒出現大幅度提升。如果回顧過去一個月的走勢,可以發現在過去30天中,納指的跌幅,下圖中用紫色的曲線表示,已經超過了10%,而正式進入了技術性的回調區間。

    蘋果一夜蒸發萬億什么情況 蘋果一夜蒸發萬億是真的嗎

    另外,在同一時間段內,標普500指數和道瓊斯工業指數,上圖中分別用藍線、黃線表示,分別的跌幅超過了6.8%和6.3%。

    因此,持續的下跌,使得資金紛紛涌入安全資產,而三個方向的避險資產流向非常明顯。

    黃金等金屬商品

    首先,最傳統的避險資產之一是黃金等金屬商品。

    近來的金價得到了大幅度的上漲,隔夜飆升1.5%,而使得收盤價位攀升到了三個月以來的最高點。

    蘋果一夜蒸發萬億什么情況 蘋果一夜蒸發萬億是真的嗎

    避險貨幣

    除了金屬商品之外,避險貨幣也是資金的流向。比如說被視為主要避險貨幣之一的瑞士法郎,在最近得到強勢的推漲。

    歐元對瑞士法郎,就在隔夜創下了兩年以來的新低,而這意味著,瑞士法郎升值到兩年以來最強勢的時刻。

    蘋果一夜蒸發萬億什么情況 蘋果一夜蒸發萬億是真的嗎

    而美元對日元,也呈現著持續的下跌,目前的價位比今年早前創下的高點下跌了近4%。而這顯示被視為避險資產貨幣的日元,在近來的強勢。

    美國國債

    第三個方向的流向,是美國國債。

    截至美國時間6月3日,美國兩年期的國債收益率大幅走低,而七年以及十年的收益率遠遠低于近期國債,包括一個月和六個月的國債收益率。

    蘋果一夜蒸發萬億什么情況 蘋果一夜蒸發萬億是真的嗎

    這在經濟學理論中被稱為“利率倒掛”,因此,近段時間,“利率倒掛”的程度不斷加重,使得不少人認為美聯儲不得不開始考慮降息。

    因此,15天之后的聯儲會議就顯得尤為的重要,到時市場會密切關注聯儲聲明中的任何變化。

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